Top Analyst Issues New Bitcoin Alert, Citing Historical Crypto Price Action in September

A closely tracked crypto strategist warns that the incoming month has a track record of being unfriendly to the price of Bitcoin (BTC).

The pseudonymous analyst known in the industry as Rager tells his 206,100 Twitter followers that September is usually not a good month for BTC.

“Equities market in general isn’t looking good right now so this dip on BTC is a reflection on that. September in general isn’t historically a great month.

Possibly dip here that ends up being buyers opportunity for following months. I’ll be a spot buyer for long term on sub-$20,000.”

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Source: Rager/Twitter

Looking at Rager’s chart, Bitcoin declines nearly 6% on average in the month of September. At time of writing, BTC is valued at $19,676, down over 1% in the past day.

While the crypto analyst is bearish on Bitcoin in the near term, he believes that BTC is now poised to trade in a wide range between $18,000 and $48,000 for the next year or so.

“BTC is 835 days since the last halving, and this is around the time of the cycle bottom (give or take a couple months before/after).

So far, there’s a case that the Bitcoin bottom is in unless the stock market continues to break down.

So what’s next?… Basically range for a year.”

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Source: Rager/Twitter

Based on the analyst’s chart, BTC could trade sideways until April 2024 before launching a new uptrend en route to a fresh all-time high.

As for leading smart contract platform Ethereum, Rager says the hype surrounding ETH‘s highly anticipated update to a proof-of-stake consensus mechanism is already priced in.

“Many talking about The Merge and disbelief about ETH price drop.

People forget that ETH did a 2x 100%+ in only one month.

That price action was The Merge being priced in, in my opinion.

Those who traded it have been taking profits on those who were late, along with equities pulling back.”

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Source: Rager/Twitter

At time of writing, ETH is trading at $1,435, down over 4% on the day.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any loses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Featured Image: Shutterstock/Tithi Luadthong

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