Bitcoin has found itself in a swing position for more than two months now based on its stagnation in the $30-$40K range. This situation has been caused by low volatility and intensified crackdown on crypto mining by Chinese authorities.
The battle between long-term and short-term holders has also played a part in their contrary positions in the BTC market. For instance, as long-term BTC holders kept on accumulating, their short-term counterparts continued selling, resulting in a stalemate.
However, on-chain analyst Will Clemente believes that Bitcoin is moving to strong hands given that its supply shock is at levels witnessed at the $50-$60K range.
Strong hands are investors who indulge in an asset for future purposes other than speculation. Smallholders are a rising force. According to crypto analyst Willy Woo:
“ Bitcoin continues a 12 year trend of distributing evenly. Small holders are a rising force.”
Therefore, smallholders cannot be ignored as they sold 428,749 BTC in May, and this is one of the reasons why Bitcoin nosedived from a record-high of $64.8K hit in mid-April. Moreover, on May 19, BTC shed off 30% of its value on a single day, making it go below the 200-day MA indicator for the first time since March last year.
Bitcoin’s short-term interest declined by 43% from an all-time high (ATH) experienced in February, triggering low volatility in the market.
As a result, crypto trading volumes in exchanges dropped by more than 40% in June. For instance, spot trading volumes fell by 42.7% to $2.7 trillion, while derivative volumes dropped by 40.7% to hit $3.2 trillion.
With Bitcoin moving back to strong hands, it remains to be seen whether this jumpstarts the top cryptocurrency back to winning ways.
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